The Road to DOW 100K

 

Why the Fourth Turning Won’t Resolve Until Super Cycle Wave III Peaks and Wave IV Finds Bottom

As we close out 2025 with the Dow Jones Industrial Average within reach of the psychological 50,000 level and despite all the well-deserved doom and gloom, the question on every die-hard bullish investor’s mind is not if the index will reach 100,000, but when — and what price will be paid along the way.

Some analysts interpret the structure as Grand Super Cycle Wave III (or V), depending on where they anchor the pre-industrial baseline. This distinction does not alter the implications: under both counts, the current advance is still part of an extended third wave, and third waves are not where secular crises resolve. They are where excess accumulates.

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Is Resistance Futile?

 Okay, here I go again.

Because the truth is hurtful in many instances, conservatives and liberals are likely to get triggered by this. 

BUT... Tis the season; it is what it is.

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When Will the Bear Market End?

 

The following is my first post in quite some time, possibly my last.  

Four years before its arrival, in March 2017, I posited that 2021 would be a year of significant import for numerous technical reasons. Namely, that 2021 would mark the end of a Secular Bull market in financial assets.

The Nasdaq topped in late 2021, followed quickly by a top in the S&P 500 and the Dow in early 2022. My prediction for a market top back in 2017 was accurate.   

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CYCLES AND TRANSITIONS

Gosh, it’s been nearly a year and a half since I’ve written a post for Elliott Wave Technology!  

Just as markets do, I too have gone through a cyclical transition of sorts. 

Although I am still very much on top of keeping abreast of the Long-Term Trend Monitor for my long-standing loyal subscribers – I have mostly retired at this juncture and as such, have also retired the balance of my previous offerings.

I will soon provide the regular quarterly update for the Long-Term Monitor later this month. 

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