Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Silver Bear Still Looms

Rallying 10% from recent lows silver is nearing resistance

Per our last update, the prospect for some sort of pivotal turn-date occurring near Thanksgiving appears to be setting up as a plausible short-term pivot high rather than a long-term secular low. As I suggested weeks ago, this rally came as no surprise. 

True, it is also plausible that the recent print low at $15.04 marked the ever elusive long-term bottom that so many are looking for. Time will tell.

Though impressive, the 10% move up off the $15.04 print low remains suspect. The paper denominated price of silver is fast approaching overhead trendline resistance at the $16.80 level. 
This near-term resistance is approaching in concert with neutral readings on the momentum front; both of these technical factors could slow down, stall, or reverse the modest recovery this market has experienced over the past several weeks. 

As such, we could see another leg down developing soon, and a retest of $15.04 or fresh new lows toward the $13.00 target by the end of this year.

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